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Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.The contracted sales of Xuhui Holding Group in November was 2.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41%.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures rose more and fell less. Coke and BR rubber rose by more than 3%, while rebar, glass, hot coil, iron ore and Shanghai Bank rose by more than 2%. In terms of decline, the European line of container transportation fell by nearly 3%, while asphalt, alumina and No.20 glue fell by more than 1%.

The IMF believes that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil. Economists of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) say that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil, emphasizing the importance of calmly coping with turmoil when the region faces various internal risks and challenges brought by Trump's return to the White House. Asia is still the key engine of global economic growth, but uncertainty caused by many factors has increased this year. The unexpected leadership change in Japan, the chaotic martial law storm in South Korea and Trump's tariff threat all make the future of the region even more unpredictable. Alasdair Scott, head of the Asia-Pacific Department of the IMF, declined to comment on specific countries and political situations, but he emphasized the resilience of Asia and said that the region still has great growth potential.At least 184 people were killed in an attack on a community in Port-au-Prince, Haiti. On December 9, the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, Volcker Turk, said that Haitian gang armed forces attacked a community on the outskirts of Port-au-Prince last weekend, killing at least 184 people. Since the beginning of this year, the number of people killed in gang attacks in Port-au-Prince has reached 5,000. At present, Haitian gangs control 80% of Port-au-Prince, and violent incidents occur frequently.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.

Morgan Stanley issued a technical opinion report that it is believed that the share price of CITIC Securities will rise in the next 30 days. The bank believes that the above scenario will happen 70% to 80% of the time. The bank pointed out that the upward trend is mainly due to the supportive policy tone before the domestic economic work conference, which may raise market sentiment, which should promote the average daily trading volume to rebound and increase market leverage. The bank believes that CITIC Securities is a high-quality and widely recognized brokerage firm, and will have good conditions to consolidate its market share when capital market activities increase. Morgan Stanley gave CITIC Securities a rating of "keeping pace with the market" and a target price of HK$ 21.2.Malaysia's palm oil output in November was 1.62 million tons, down 9.80% from October.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: I'm not sure if we will cut interest rates in February. It will be necessary to pay attention to the slowdown in data, wages and demand. If the inflation rate does not drop, then we will face another problem.